Snowshoe Mountain Resort

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Snowshoe, WV

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Forecast Discussion

Summary

SYNOPSIS

... High pressure brings mainly dry weather Saturday. Precipitation chances return across the north Saturday night into Monday. Drier next week. Another system with rain late in the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 915 PM Friday...

Made some very slight adjustments to hourly temperatures based on current observations and to sky cover to better represent current satellite imagery. Otherwise, forecast continues to remain on track.

As of 628 PM Friday...

Scattered snow showers continue along the higher elevations this evening and are expected to gradually taper off into tonight. Overall, current forecast remains on track.

As of 255 PM Friday...

Scattered snow showers across the region courtesy of an upstream moisture connection with Lake Michigan are gradually beginning to dissipate as the upstream moisture feed becomes less favorable. This will result in snow showers becoming confined to the higher elevations throughout the rest of the afternoon, with drying elsewhere. Temperatures this afternoon will be well below normal. Did bump down afternoon temps a bit from guidance given the current trends.

Snow showers may linger across the northeast mountains through the evening, but will generally become more isolated in nature as the evening progresses, with any accumulations being an inch or less. Tranquil weather then takes hold for the rest of the overnight, with a rather chilly night ahead. Did lower temps tonight a bit from guidance in the typical cold spots, but given low-level flow, and potential for a bit of cloud cover, did not stray too far from guidance.

Tranquil weather then continues for the day Saturday with temperatures warming a bit, but still remaining below normal. A disturbance approaches late Saturday, but should remain far enough to the north for the area to remain dry.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 130 AM Saturday...

Low pressure will dive south across the Great Lakes region, sweeping a cold front across the area Sunday evening. Some light precipitation is expected across the north with this feature, including the possibility of some light upslope snow showers developing late Sunday night into Monday across the northern mountains. Have a general 1 to 3 inches of snow figured across northern mountains during this time period. Another low will move across the Great Lakes region Monday night into Tuesday with some light precipitation potential across the north, and perhaps some light upslope snow showers across northern mountains again. However, moisture potential is uncertain, and wind component not the most favorable for upslope, so along with surrounding offices kept a dry forecast for this period. However, it will need to be monitored by other shifts for the potential for another round of upslope snow.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 130 AM Saturday...

Dry for much of the week. There is a small possibility at times for light precipitation across the far north from disturbances moving across Canada into New England, but overall chances low. Another system is expected late in the extended. However, there are plenty of model differences concerning this. But overall consensus is should be warm enough for precipitation to be in the form of rain area wide.

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